Analytics
Resolved No on 6 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 25% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 May 2025 to 6 May 2025, the highest close was 25% on 3 May 2025 and the lowest 1% on 4 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 1% on 4 May 2025. $26.28K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 May 2025 – 6 May 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 25.0% |
| 6 May 2025 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nickes | Yes | 1.91K |
| lechuck09876 | Yes | 206 |
| JimmyR | Yes | 130.59 |
| DK080 | Yes | 114.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West attends the 2025 Met Gala, scheduled to take place on May 5, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Crashing the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the gala. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or inside the gala will not count. If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kanye-crash-the-met-gala
New to prediction markets?
| wert360 | Yes | 96.74 |
| bogdi | Yes | 74.14 |
| kaetaa | Yes | 62.5 |
| polymark | Yes | 40 |
| jonny67 | Yes | 17.86 |
| bigboops | No | 0.02 |
