Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 52% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 193 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 62.5% on 26 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 3% on 31 Jul 2025. $36.22K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 193 points, 24 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2025 | 52.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| mshcpx | Yes | 232.69 |
| for-the-lulz | Yes | 227 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former United States Vice President Kamala Harris announces that she is running for Governor of California in the 2026 midterm election, between June 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or her official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-harris-announce-california-governor-run-in-2025
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 223.7 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 162 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 61 |
| longanalyst | Yes | 51.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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