
Resolved No on 13 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 43% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 13 Aug 2026, the highest close was 43% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 0.1% on 13 Aug 2026. $29.73K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 14, 7:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 13 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 43.0% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.2K |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 2K |
| balthazar | Yes | 939.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used. This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-in-game-deaths-during-kai-and-speed-minecraft-marathon-20260807224247497
| Yes |
| 473.99 |
| JackJackjjj | Yes | 417.83 |
| oskariz | Yes | 366.34 |
| Strident-Export | Yes | 190.55 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 141.29 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 141 |
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