Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | Yes | 8.67 | $0.080 | $0.2 | -$0.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?Yes | sell | 208.56 | $0.001 | $0.21 | 13d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.23 |
| $0.310 |
| $0.1 |
| -$0.28 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 0.22 | $0.144 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 1.4 |
| $0.240 |
| $0.34 |
| 13d ago |
 Iran leadership change by November 30?No | sell | 0.47 | $0.890 | $0.42 | 13d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.35 | $0.120 | $0.64 | 13d ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | sell | 0.81 | $0.991 | $0.8 | 13d ago |
 Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.953 | $1.24 | 13d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.560 | $1.53 | 13d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 13d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long?No | sell | 104.87 | $0.010 | $1.03 | 13d ago |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | sell | 22.15 | $0.100 | $2.22 | 13d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?Yes | sell | 2.11K | $0.001 | $2.11 | 13d ago |
 Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.804 | $3.28 | 13d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 32.64 | $0.110 | $3.59 | 13d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.77 | $0.160 | $3.8 | 13d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | sell | 100.34 | $0.040 | $4.01 | 13d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.12 | $0.920 | $5.63 | 13d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 440.46 | $0.013 | $5.73 | 13d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 7.83 | $0.870 | $6.81 | 13d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 149.72 | $0.042 | $6.3 | 13d ago |
 Will no press briefing air by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.62 | $0.191 | $2.6 | 13d ago |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes | sell | 32.47 | $0.190 | $6.17 | 13d ago |
 Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.993 | $7.95 | 13d ago |
 Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 34.44 | $0.170 | $5.85 | 13d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.033 | $6.62 | 13d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | sell | 262.2 | $0.034 | $8.91 | 13d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.230 | $9.2 | 13d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | 13d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.88 | $0.900 | $9.79 | 13d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 689.65 | $0.012 | $8.28 | 13d ago |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 59.7 | $0.166 | $9.9 | 13d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 205.8 | $0.070 | $14.41 | 13d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 15.86 | $0.970 | $15.38 | 13d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | sell | 19.66 | $0.910 | $17.89 | 13d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 535.63 | $0.032 | $17.16 | 13d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | 13d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 13d ago |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | sell | 20 | $0.944 | $18.88 | 13d ago |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?No | sell | 20.03 | $0.960 | $19.24 | 13d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 287.31 | $0.090 | $25.86 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.360 | $28.8 | 13d ago |
 Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.969 | $29.07 | 13d ago |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.013 | $13.28 | 13d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 213.02 | $0.140 | $29.82 | 13d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 35.28 | $0.880 | $31.05 | 13d ago |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | sell | 35.52 | $0.880 | $31.26 | 13d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 151.03 | $0.211 | $31.87 | 13d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 43.94 | $0.720 | $31.64 | 13d ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.320 | $31.68 | 13d ago |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | 13d ago |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.230 | $32.2 | 13d ago |