Will Jun Kanayama win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$342

Resolved

Settled

Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 0.7% on 11 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Oct 2026. $342.33 traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 2:58 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	275.96
sanduspace	Yes	100
Attached-Prairie	Yes	29

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).