Analytics
Yes is at 31.1%, up 9.7 points from 21.5% when the market opened on 14 Jun 2026.
Across the 143 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 6 Nov 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 23 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.9%; a month before, 26.8%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 7% on 27 Jun 2026.
Josh Hokit ranks second of the 15 outcomes in “Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?”. Ciryl Gane leads at 69.5%; Curtis Blaydes is at 0.3%.
$500.07 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $21.36K since listing. The order book holds $8.84K, with a 2.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 483 trades, $2.99K bought Yes and $4.89K bought No; the largest was a $1.28K buy of No at 77.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Gaditima with 2.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 6.9K. Ten wallets hold 80.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 56 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 143 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 6 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 21.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 31.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.89K |
| Gaditima | Yes | 2.78K |
| beautyistruth | Yes | 796.6 |
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-heavyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026
3 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| strangemarkets |
| Yes |
| 660.66 |
| buddha122 | No | 601.59 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Yes | 368.09 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 367.86 |
| BB2002 | Yes | 335.8 |
| cigarettes | No | 335.16 |
| JoGold | Yes | 302 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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