Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 16 points from 16% when the market opened on 5 Jan 2026.
Across the 274 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.7% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 40.1% on 23 May 2026.
Waldo Cortes Acosta ranks eighth of the 15 outcomes in “Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?”. Ciryl Gane leads at 69.5%; Josh Hokit is at 29.7%.
$48.22K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.09K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 58 trades, $0.81 bought Yes and $24.11K bought No; the largest was a $13.77K sell of No at 99.5¢.
The largest Yes position is e46m3 with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 6.9K. Ten wallets hold 81.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 274 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 16.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.88K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.26K |
| balthazar | Yes | 759.81 |
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-heavyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026
3 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Lucerys |
| Yes |
| 589.77 |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 478.53 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 367.86 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 233.17 |
| plainfolder | Yes | 211.98 |
| quietparcel | Yes | 205.96 |
| VictorLudorum | Yes | 188.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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