Analytics
Yes is at 20.8%, up 18 points from 2.4% when the market opened on 12 Feb 2026.
Across the 235 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2026 to 6 Nov 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.8% on 6 Nov 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 14 Feb 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.3%; a month before, 10.4%.
Jon Ossoff is the favourite of the 55 outcomes in “Presidential Election Winner 2028”, ahead of JD Vance at 20.6%.
$71.74K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.6M since listing. The order book holds $533.33K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $44.76K bought Yes and $4.67K bought No; the largest was a $10K buy of Yes at 18.9¢.
The largest Yes position is HerbertAppreciator with 307K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.86M. Ten wallets hold 71.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 235 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 2.4% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 20.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.86M |
| HerbertAppreciator | Yes | 307.03K |
| ISMS2222 | Yes | 226.31K |
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028
43 more outcomes, none above 1.1%.
| schlomosgoy | Yes | 200K |
| 11122 | Yes | 149.03K |
| Pugilist | Yes | 141.68K |
| tugator | Yes | 132.5K |
| Jsram | Yes | 124.8K |
| Ivory Ledger 752C | Yes | 108.74K |
| MSKW22222 | Yes | 107.19K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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