Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0.1%; no result has been reported.
Across the 50 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23.5%; a month before, 36.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.1% on 28 Oct 2026.
8-9 ranks fourth of the 5 outcomes in “Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?”. 10-11 leads at 57.5%; 12+ is at 42.8%.
$6.6K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is qwen300.fund with 3.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 13.3K. Ten wallets hold 91.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 42.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.28K |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 3.4K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.11K |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-joint-list-of-seats
| Knowing-Arthur-Ash |
| Yes |
| 1.55K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.34K |
| Lucerys | Yes | 905.81 |
| TheJewishHammer | Yes | 822.78 |
| smallreceipt | Yes | 582.71 |
| KtWw | Yes | 500 |
| EsfandiarRahimMashaei | Yes | 379 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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