What is the “Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 30, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($119.94K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 43 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 92.5% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 24, 2:04 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? | Polymarket odds & analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-john-pardon-win-the-2026-fields-medalUpdated Jul 24, 2026 UTC

cultureClosed

Scheduled close Jul 30, 2026 UTCawardsculture

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Observed Yes 100¢Observed No 0¢

24h Volume

$119.9K

Scheduled close

Jul 30, 2026 UTC

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jul 24, 2026 UTC

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

100.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

93%

Yes / No shares

163.61 / 10.17K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

215

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC	97.4%	97.4%
Jul 22, 12:00 AM UTC	96.7%	96.7%
Jul 21, 12:00 AM UTC	97.9%	97.9%

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 30, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($119.94K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.