Analytics
Yes is at 45.6%, up 35 points from 10.5% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 93 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.8% on 4 Nov 2026 and the lowest 3.9% on 16 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 42.9%; a month before, 36%. Its largest one-day move was 7.9 points up, to 34.8% on 20 Sep 2026.
John Malkovich is the favourite of the 22 outcomes in “Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner”, ahead of Andrew Scott at 20%.
$1.04K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $26.35K since listing. The order book holds $11.13K, with a 1.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 440 trades, $3.95K bought Yes and $5.19K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Highboard with 1.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 84.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 10.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 45.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.27K |
| Highboard | Yes | 1.93K |
| golfpro2025 | Yes | 1.9K |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.oscars.org/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-actor-winner-20260727174302919
10 more outcomes, none above 0.2%.
| HardradaH |
| Yes |
| 1.75K |
| leftisright | Yes | 1.74K |
| Xyzeric | No | 1.25K |
| buoys | Yes | 1.13K |
| bearlow2 | Yes | 704.98 |
| doil | Yes | 371.03 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 274.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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