Will John Hart win the 2026 Greater Wellington Regional Council by-election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Aug 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$484

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 25, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 25 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 25 Aug 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7.9% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 70 points up, to 95.2% on 22 Aug 2026. $483.89 traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 25 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Aug 2026	31.5%
25 Aug 2026	99.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	126.46
ACara	No	30
TENETENET	No	10

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the Wairarapa constituency of the Greater Wellington Regional Council in New Zealand is currently scheduled to be held on on August 21, 2026, following the death of incumbent councillor Adrienne Staples. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Wairarapa constituency by-election for the Greater Wellington Regional Council. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Greater Wellington Regional Council (https://www.gw.govt.nz/).