Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 7.5 points from 21% when the market opened on 31 Jul 2026.
Across the 84 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 29 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26.5%; a month before, 52%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 52% on 30 Sep 2026.
$65.11 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.08K since listing. The order book holds $10.57K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 137 trades, $235.09 bought Yes and $1.44K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 474 shares; the largest No position is DoLess with 506. Ten wallets hold 84.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 21.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DoLess | No | 506.31 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 474.4 |
| wallet-account-test | No | 286 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jessica Tisch’s departure as New York City Police Commissioner is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Jessica Tisch, the New York City Police Department, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Jessica Tisch has ceased or will cease to hold the position of New York City Police Commissioner. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jessica Tisch and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jessica-tisch-out-as-new-york-city-police-commissioner-byptptpt-20260729145659933
| DuneMentat |
| No |
| 227 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 164.12 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 115.98 |
| M4rketm4ker | Yes | 81.65 |
| vbm | No | 80 |
| tiromi | Yes | 72 |
| Secret-Bolero-Injury | Yes | 68.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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