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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30? | Over | 89.47 | $0.550 | $28.63 | -$20.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes | sell | 50.2 | $0.700 | $35.14 | 33m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 181.16 |
| $0.330 |
| $21.38 |
| -$38.41 |
| Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | Yes | 27.95 | $0.720 | $19.7 | -$0.42 |
 Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 49.76 | $0.540 | $18.91 | -$7.96 |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.35 | $0.510 | $4.3 | -$0.47 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in September? | No | 20 | $0.310 | $2.3 | -$3.9 |
| sell |
| 21.03 |
| $0.420 |
| $8.83 |
| 50m ago |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 75.68 | $0.220 | $16.65 | 1h ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.87 | $0.530 | $8.94 | 4h ago |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 75.67 | $0.120 | $9.08 | 13h ago |
 Will Oklahoma State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No | sell | 35 | $0.440 | $15.4 | 23h ago |
 Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 38.61 | $0.400 | $15.44 | 1d ago |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | sell | 2.58 | $0.160 | $0.41 | 1d ago |
 Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.00 in September?Yes | sell | 20.25 | $0.190 | $3.85 | 1d ago |
 Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 8.28 | $0.440 | $3.64 | 2d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?Yes | sell | 9.85 | $0.530 | $5.22 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40.42 | $0.640 | $25.87 | 2d ago |
 Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 106.63 | $0.110 | $11.73 | 3d ago |
| Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?No | sell | 94.47 | $0.400 | $37.79 | 3d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | sell | 140.63 | $0.100 | $14.06 | 3d ago |
 Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?No | sell | 201.81 | $0.290 | $58.52 | 3d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?No | sell | 42.25 | $0.350 | $14.79 | 4d ago |
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 151.36 | $0.480 | $72.7 | 4d ago |
 Will Grüne win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 178.94 | $0.530 | $94.84 | 4d ago |
| Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?O 4.5 | sell | 30.1 | $0.330 | $9.93 | 4d ago |
 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Yes | sell | 116.92 | $0.290 | $33.91 | 4d ago |
 Will Indiana be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Yes | sell | 30.04 | $0.340 | $10.21 | 5d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 111.06 | $0.330 | $36.65 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 5d ago |
| Will Indiana be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.440 | $17.6 | 6d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 18.22 | $0.360 | $6.56 | 6d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.370 | $29.6 | 6d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | sell | 101.81 | $0.390 | $39.71 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 61.12 | $0.659 | $40.26 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 75.68 | $0.750 | $56.76 | 7d ago |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 3.72 | $0.190 | $0.71 | 7d ago |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.340 | $0.68 | 8d ago |
 US bank failure by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 57.67 | $0.440 | $25.37 | 8d ago |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 37.96 | $0.500 | $18.98 | 9d ago |
 Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.690 | $1.21 | 10d ago |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | sell | 47.39 | $0.620 | $29.38 | 10d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?Over | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | 10d ago |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.79 | $0.150 | $4.92 | 10d ago |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 19.73 | $0.510 | $10.06 | 11d ago |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.290 | $2.9 | 11d ago |
 Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?AfD | sell | 53.62 | $0.440 | $23.59 | 11d ago |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40.25 | $0.650 | $26.16 | 12d ago |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 64.39 | $0.670 | $43.14 | 12d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Yes | sell | 76.69 | $0.107 | $8.23 | 13d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 76.69 | $0.231 | $17.74 | 13d ago |
 Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 100.91 | $0.653 | $65.93 | 13d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | sell | 92.46 | $0.610 | $56.4 | 13d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 100.91 | $0.428 | $43.14 | 14d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on August 28, 2026?No | sell | 24.79 | $0.610 | $15.12 | 14d ago |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 88.29 | $0.480 | $42.38 | 14d ago |