Analytics
Yes is at 72.5%, up 22 points from 50% when the market opened on 25 Aug 2026.
Across the 63 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 11 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 75.5%; a month before, 62.5%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 58.5% on 14 Sep 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “Japan J. League: Teams relegated (2026-27)”.
$2.02K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $70.27, with a 23.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 58 trades, $260.27 bought Yes and $111.38 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 0x0820-3 with 60 shares; the largest No position is pootytherewardfarmer with 47.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0820-3 | Yes | 60 |
| 0x0820-4 | Yes | 49.93 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 46.97 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Japan J. League at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Japan J. League season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Japan J. League for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Japan J. League, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Japan J. League. If the 2026-27 Japan J. League season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Japan J. League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/japan-j-league-teams-relegated-2026-27
8 more markets, none above 50.0%.
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 46.76 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 21.58 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
| 5655655 | No | 20 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 20 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 17.77 |
| pupka-zalupka | No | 0.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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