Analytics
Yes is at 73.9%, up 68 points from 5.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 83 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.7% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 4 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 72.3%; a month before, 55.4%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 3% on 8 Aug 2026.
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez is the favourite of the 22 outcomes in “Nayarit Governor Election Winner”, ahead of Luis Zamora Carrillo at 9.2%.
$189.47 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.32K since listing. The order book holds $11.2K, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 144 trades, $436 bought Yes and $525.16 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Badger27 with 388 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 634. Ten wallets hold 96.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 5.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 73.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 633.92 |
| Badger27 | Yes | 387.89 |
| EsperanzasDESTROYER | Yes | 169.28 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nayarit-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
10 more outcomes, none above 0.3%.
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 71.11 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 69.7 |
| musicenthusiast | Yes | 50.28 |
| rocavil | Yes | 25 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 21 |
| PPMT | Yes | 14.72 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 14.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
