Analytics
Yes is at 2.2%, down 43 points from 45% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 119 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.9%; a month before, 3.6%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 13% on 28 Jun 2026.
James Graf ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner”. Mark Keough leads at 98%.
$4.98K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $25.56K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 112 trades, $443.31 bought Yes and $551.43 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Odd-Relish with 275 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 672. Ten wallets hold 86.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 119 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 45.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 671.9 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 274.98 |
| manu354 | No | 114.94 |
The 2026 Montgomery County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Montgomery County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-montgomery-county-judge-election-winner-20260626004629130
| planktonXD |
| Yes |
| 99 |
| cigarettes | No | 90 |
| cosmicsteaks | Yes | 87 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 68 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 67.85 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 66.13 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 59.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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