Analytics
Yes is at 98%, up 42 points from 55.5% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 123 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.1% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 1 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 95.4%; a month before, 91.7%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 47.5% on 1 Aug 2026.
Mark Keough is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner”, ahead of James Graf at 2.2%.
$45.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $22.2K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $8.9K bought Yes and $871.74 bought No; the largest was a $2.21K buy of Yes at 84.5¢.
The largest Yes position is macrosteaks with 1.8K shares; the largest No position is Golden Beacon 67A6 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 81.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 10:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 123 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 55.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 98.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 2.07K |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 1.85K |
| Reckless-Estrogen-Competence | Yes | 1.11K |
The 2026 Montgomery County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Montgomery County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-montgomery-county-judge-election-winner-20260626004629130
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 1.02K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 671.9 |
| cosmicsteaks | No | 500.4 |
| longdated-poli | No | 408.25 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 352.39 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 275 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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