
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 47% on 23 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 86.5% on 13 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 62 points down, to 0.4% on 18 Jun 2026. $65.11K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 3:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 10 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 47.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.01K |
| GUINESS123 | Yes | 671.18 |
| cowcat | Yes | 602 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ok-01-republican-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 563.99 |
| richardd | Yes | 400 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 269.68 |
| abcdefgh123456 | Yes | 200 |
| Unprofitable | Yes | 147.54 |
| Royal Ledger 7119 | Yes | 120.48 |
| Banditoes | Yes | 105.87 |
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