Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 22 points from 25% when the market opened on 15 Apr 2026.
Across the 190 daily closes on record from 15 Apr 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38.1% on 8 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 28 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.8%; a month before, 2.6%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 37.6% on 7 Jun 2026.
It is one of 35 markets under “Republican VP Nominee 2028”.
$688.13 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $29.13K, with a 5.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 52 trades, $2.82 bought Yes and $391.5 bought No.
The largest Yes position is awgraewrfa with 295 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 90.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 15 Apr 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2026 | 25.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.58K |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 294.99 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 262.14 |
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-nominee-2028
22 more markets, none above 3.6%.
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 146 |
| GingerMcKenna | Yes | 134 |
| SiliconBets | Yes | 100 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 98.5 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 81.5 |
| maritime6307 | Yes | 80 |
| 52adsa | Yes | 79.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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