Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 38% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 29 Aug 2026, the highest close was 38% on 17 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 1.9% on 25 Jul 2026. $1.2K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 5:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 29 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 38.0% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 640.81 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20.6 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 19.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cook-islands-parliamentary-election-ngatangiia-winner-20260715192220118
| Yes |
| 18.59 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 18.55 |
| FoolAndHisMoney | Yes | 10 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 10 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 8.38 |
| graynotebook19 | No | 0.05 |
| Majas | No | 0.01 |
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