Analytics
Yes is at 72.5%, up 23 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 72.5% on 6 Nov 2026 and the lowest 46% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 61.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
$174.12 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.81K since listing. The order book holds $696.66, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 58 trades, $595.52 bought Yes and $233.97 bought No.
The largest Yes position is leegunner with 355 shares; the largest No position is Haradwaith with 92. Ten wallets hold 91.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 16 Nov 2026, 10 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 49.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 72.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leegunner | Yes | 355.18 |
| Haradwaith | No | 91.87 |
| verybadtrader | No | 55 |
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix taking place on November 8, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. The 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix refers to the race held at Autódromo José Carlos Pace (Interlagos), listed by the FIA as the São Paulo Grand Prix. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after November 16, 2026, this market resolves "No". Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by November 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-it-rain-during-the-brazilian-grand-prix
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 46.03 |
| lissartter | No | 35.48 |
| Sabasaba77 | Yes | 28.77 |
| WarriorH | No | 25 |
| TheCondor1329 | No | 24.87 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 20 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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