Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87.5%. Yes opened at 81% on 1 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 93.5% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 73.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 93.5% on 4 Mar 2026.
178 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 1 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 81.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 87.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 34.57K |
| tetrose | No | 18.47K |
| Skinny-Class | No | 6.64K |
| lissartter |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by
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| No |
| 3.77K |
| Harvey-Dent | No | 2.5K |
| Leon8899 | No | 2K |
| Raypiaso002 | No | 2K |
| DeadReckoning | No | 1.88K |
| primetime7 | No | 1.69K |
| giuseppe77 | No | 1.69K |
