Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74.5%. Yes opened at 55% on 7 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 55% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 74.5% on 8 Mar 2026.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 11:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 50%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | 55.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Icky-Incubation | No | 1.46K |
| BHC1 | No | 1.38K |
| Agreeable-Minister | No | 528.45 |
| oak | No | 406 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| jewbudd1936 | No | 373.84 |
| provisoee | No | 312.5 |
| LukeAlpha | No | 300 |
| Crimson Signal 1DD9 | No | 291.43 |
| jkguyfyu | No | 284.33 |
| Sk1z | No | 200 |
