Analytics
Yes is at 95.5%, up 45 points from 50% when the market opened on 10 Feb 2026.
Across the 233 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.2% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11% on 19 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 97.3%; a month before, 90.5%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 57.5% on 27 Apr 2026.
4.50%+ is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “India Annual Inflation 2026”, ahead of 3.00% to 3.74% at 3.2%.
$27.78K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.22K, with a 3.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 381 trades, $6.18K bought Yes and $5.48K bought No; the largest was a $4.75K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is FrozenParasite with 3.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 92.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 13 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 233 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 95.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 3.81K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.29K |
| Haradwaith | No | 693.74 |
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/india-annual-inflation-2026
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 443.78 |
| Oklmntrader | No | 330.01 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 250.39 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 101.22 |
| xiaoaojiang | Yes | 85 |
| ViscaElBarca | No | 80 |
| warptrading | No | 72.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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