Analytics
Yes is at 31.5%, down 19 points from 50% when the market opened on 1 Aug 2026.
Across the 87 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 29 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24.5%; a month before, 16%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26.5% on 2 Aug 2026.
It is one of 18 markets under “NCAA Football 2026 Big Ten Conference: Winner”.
$60.1 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.27K since listing. The order book holds $1.39K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 201 trades, $433.42 bought Yes and $2.68K bought No.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 980 shares; the largest No position is macrosteaks with 364. Ten wallets hold 85.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Dec 2026, 51 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 979.56 |
| macrosteaks | No | 364.41 |
| Gaditima | No | 344.53 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Big Ten Championship Game, determining the champion of the Big Ten Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 5, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Big Ten Conference (https://bigten.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-2026-big-ten-conference-winner-20260731204103000
6 more markets, none above 2.7%.
| bananabreakfast |
| No |
| 299.86 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 261.12 |
| JustADonk | Yes | 190.57 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | Yes | 172.03 |
| algo168 | No | 130.72 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 100.13 |
| Deadheadbucky | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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