Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, up 5 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 28% on 17 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?”.
$175.79 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.27K since listing. The order book holds $19.9K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 43 trades, $229.4 bought Yes and $1.01K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Cainez with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Car with 539. Ten wallets hold 86.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cainez | Yes | 1.12K |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 538.95 |
| DFK |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ilhan-omar-be-deported-in-2026
| No |
| 457.2 |
| propunter3421 | No | 243.65 |
| AJSV | Yes | 187.75 |
| Haradwaith | No | 169.2 |
| Canine-Insolence | Yes | 137.89 |
| Andatr | Yes | 125 |
| aviato | No | 115.78 |
| Nadmi | Yes | 107.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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