Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 20 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 20 May 2026 to 17 Jul 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 20 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Jul 2026. $39.31K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 6:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 20 May 2026 – 17 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 May 2026 | 6.5% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 631 |
| Biene777 | Yes | 171.43 |
| verbo | Yes | 110 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hunter-biden-announce-a-delaware-senate-run-by-july-14
| Yes |
| 100 |
| niglette | Yes | 65 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | 65 |
| dfeg | Yes | 43.48 |
| Linear-Humanity | Yes | 28.57 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 25 |
| Aggravating-Ziggurat | Yes | 18 |
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