Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 49% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 49% on 4 Sep 2026 and the lowest 4% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 17% on 5 Sep 2026. $345.46 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hung-cao-confirmed-as-secretary-of-the-navy-by
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