What is the “Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 15, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins the greatest share of apportioned delegates in the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trump ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates, the popular vote will be used as a tiebreaker. Namely, if Haley ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates and has the higher final popular vote number, the market resolves to "Yes", and if Haley ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates and doesn't have the higher final popular vote number, the market resolves to "No". If no 2024…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($0) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Jan 16, 12:00 AM
Showing 17 of 17 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 16, 9:04 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-haley-win-the-iowa-caucus) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
