Analytics
Yes is at 26%, up 1 point from 25% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 41 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 37% on 22 Sep 2026 and the lowest 13% on 19 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 27%; a month before, 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 37% on 22 Sep 2026.
Guinea ranks second of the 4 outcomes in “AFCON 2027 Qualifying: Group D Winner”. South Africa leads at 68.5%; Kenya is at 2.2%.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.94K since listing. The order book holds $1.52K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 73 trades, $603.89 bought Yes and $228.55 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Bulky-Helo-Athlete with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.5K.
Trading closes on 31 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 1.66K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.46K |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 112.5 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D at the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualification. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualification. If the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualification is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from CAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/afcon-2027-qualifying-group-d-winner
| cigarettes | No | 27.25 |
| e46m3 | No | 20.07 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 20.01 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 10 |
| Lucerys | Yes | 4.85 |
| luciebot | Yes | 0.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
