
Yes is at 86%, about where the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the price held at 86%.
$3.39K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.81K since listing. The order book holds $2.56K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 80 trades, $1.19K bought Yes and $341.72 bought No.
The largest Yes position is TheWindKnowsmyName with 577 shares; the largest No position is lissartter with 392. Ten wallets hold 86.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Feb 2027, 97 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 80%–92%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 86.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 86.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 576.79 |
| lissartter | No | 392.47 |
| Ivory Pulse 6605 | Yes | 251.71 |
"Grand Theft Auto VI" is scheduled to release November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the officially announced sales revenue for "Grand Theft Auto VI" in the first 24 hours following its release exceeds $815.7 million, the current Guinness World Records-recognized highest-grossing videogame revenue in 24 hours (set by Grand Theft Auto V in 2013). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Sales revenue" refers to any officially announced U.S. dollar figure for revenue from sales of the game during the specified period, including retail sell-through, gross revenue, or net bookings. If multiple qualifying figures are announced, the highest will be used. Announcements that state only the number of units sold (e.g., "25 million copies sold") will not qualify. If such a figure is announced in a currency other than U.S. dollars, this market will resolve according to the converted value in U.S. dollars using the applicable conversion rate at the time of announcement. This market will only consider sales revenue figures for the first 24 hours of wide release, beginning at the game's standard worldwide launch. Early-access periods for premium or special editions will not be considered part of the first 24 hours. A figure described as the game's "first day" or "launch day" sales revenue will be treated as a first 24 hour figure, regardless of staggered release times across time zones. Figures covering any other timeframe will not be considered. Figures stated as a lower bound (e.g., "over $1 billion" or "more than $800 million") will qualify only if the stated bound exceeds $815.7 million. If no exact figure is available, figures stated as approximations (e.g., "about" or "around") will be taken at their stated value, while figures described as "nearly," "almost," or "just under" a value will be treated as just below that value. Revenue from pre-orders recognized as part of launch sales and from all editions of the game, including premium and special editions, will count. Revenue from in-game purchases, including GTA Online currency, will not count. This market will only consider officially announced first 24 hour sales revenue figures from a developer or distributor of GTA VI or an authorized representative thereof. Recognition of a new record by Guinness World Records is not required. If "Grand Theft Auto VI" is not released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if its first 24 hour sales revenue has not been announced by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement from Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 218.03 |
| chessplayer | No | 142.1 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 85.4 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 58.84 |
| ilmari-kone | No | 58.71 |
| BLISS9457 | Yes | 58.14 |
| rocky42014 | No | 58.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gta-vi-break-the-24-hour-sales-record
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