
Resolved No on 19 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 18 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 81.5% on 18 May 2026 and the low 0.5% on 19 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 81 points down, to 0.5% on 19 May 2026. $4.2K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 12:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 18 May 2026 – 19 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 May 2026 | 81.5% |
| 19 May 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CapitanSalami | Yes | 137.35 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Pitu2123 | Yes | 40 |
| GreenYoshi | Yes | 40 |
| olekslie | Yes | 30 |
| zxcursed121 | Yes | 21 |
| fg321df3 | Yes | 20 |
| backtobe | Yes | 20 |
| perepuk | Yes | 20 |
| shansa | Yes | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to Christie's "Masterpieces: The Private Collection of S.I. Newhouse | Evening Auction" scheduled for 18 May 2026 at 18:30 EST in New York (see: https://www.christies.com/en/auction/masterpieces-the-private-collection-of-s-i-newhouse-31380/). This market resolves "Yes" if the Price Realized for the lot is greater than or equal to the strike price. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Price Realized refers to the hammer price plus buyer's premium and any applicable fees, as published by Christie's. If Christie's does not publish a Price Realized or the piece is not otherwise old by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve based on the first published price at market listing and will not change due to estimate revisions or catalogue errata. Irrevocable bids and guarantees (house or third-party) do not affect resolution — the market resolves on the official Price Realized regardless. Data is provided by Masterworks. Learn to invest in $1mm+ paintings by Banksy, Basquiat, and Picasso. Contemporary art has outpaced the S&P 500 since 1995. Click here to learn more: http://masterworks.com/?utm_source=Polymarket
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/christies-masterpieces-collection-of-si-newhouse
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page