
Resolved No on 11 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.8% on 1 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 2.8% on 1 Sep 2025 and the low 0.1% on 11 Sep 2025. $38.32K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 1 Sep 2025 – 11 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2025 | 2.8% |
| 11 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 6.23K |
| Outrageous-Patrimony | Yes | 1.56K |
| notapro | Yes | 182.54 |
| Submissive-Slice | Yes | 111.11 |
| Hassuni | Yes | 111.11 |
| Impure-Contour | Yes | 20 |
| llllllll | Yes | 19 |
| Malganis | No | 0.08 |
| Gdub | No | 0.02 |
| smoltrader | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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