Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 17 May 2026 to 8 Jun 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 7 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 24.5% on 18 May 2026. $15.29K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 9, 6:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 17 May 2026 – 8 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 51.5% |
| 8 Jun 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 77.09K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 15.62K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 4.96K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 2.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5pt6-be-released
| Nick1122 | Yes | 1.64K |
| products | Yes | 1.24K |
| BikesAreTheBikes | Yes | 1.22K |
| korda77 | Yes | 1.03K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 841.7 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 825.99 |
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