Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 53% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 13 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 18.5% on 30 Dec 2025. $133.68K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 10:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 106 points · 13 Dec 2025 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 53.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 21.92K |
| Mytytytyyyty | Yes | 1.9K |
| acal | Yes | 1.5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-will-have-the-best-ai-model-for-math-on-march-31
| Yes |
| 705 |
| Trim-Sympathy | Yes | 525.36 |
| tkskllr | Yes | 396.93 |
| user587484 | Yes | 301.45 |
| Reflecting-Cellar | Yes | 300 |
| ouiouidescs | Yes | 250 |
| Brief-Crop | Yes | 163.35 |
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