Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 385.1 | $0.010 | $3.08 | -$0.74 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 385.1 | $0.010 | $3.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 98.04 |
| $0.051 |
| $5 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.051 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.008 | $4.44 | May 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.170 | $6.3 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 99.15 | $0.740 | $73.37 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | sell | 56.93 | $0.289 | $16.45 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes | buy | 35.62 | $0.260 | $9.26 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.217 | $4.34 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.537 | $17.32 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.340 | $5.57 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.050 | $0.69 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 75.35 | $0.398 | $30 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.015 | $1.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.061 | $3.81 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.016 | $6 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.088 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?Yes | buy | 63.27 | $0.150 | $9.49 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?Yes | buy | 470.06 | $0.002 | $0.94 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?Yes | buy | 470.06 | $0.002 | $0.94 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?Yes | buy | 155.01 | $0.006 | $0.94 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?Yes | buy | 321.58 | $0.015 | $4.7 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?Yes | buy | 150.76 | $0.031 | $4.71 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 189.52 | $0.696 | $131.93 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.150 | $10.71 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?No | buy | 838.16 | $0.006 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 798.41 | $0.013 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 174.43 | $0.057 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 450.34 | $0.022 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 189.52 | $0.053 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |