Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 36% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 10 Oct 2025, the highest close was 76% on 3 Oct 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 10 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 29.5% on 4 Oct 2025. $40.63K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 10 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2025 | 36.0% |
| 10 Oct 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.09K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 2.45K |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 1.79K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of October 10, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-october-10
| Yes |
| 1K |
| tupac | Yes | 500 |
| betyourewrong | Yes | 469.82 |
| Frings127 | Yes | 449.66 |
| swimout | Yes | 299.99 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 239.98 |
| lissartter | Yes | 162.26 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
