Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 15.5% on 23 Jan 2026 and the low 0.3% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 9.5% on 24 Jan 2026. $132.38K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 68 points · 22 Jan 2026 – 1 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 13.5% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Player-Zro | Yes | 4.6K |
| uhhh | Yes | 649.05 |
| Decisive-Wax | Yes | 565.56 |
| simplystupid188 | Yes | 400.78 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-join-the-board-of-peace-by-march-31
| 16r0ob | Yes | 281.45 |
| nilstilmanmeyer | Yes | 265.51 |
| xo6ot | Yes | 230.77 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 200 |
| Electric-Bitter | Yes | 153.54 |
| varunempire | Yes | 116.83 |
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