Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 25% on 5 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 5 May 2026 to 30 Jul 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 8% on 19 May 2026. $767.13 traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 8:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 5 May 2026 – 30 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | 25.0% |
| 30 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 809.34 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/germany-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026
| Yes |
| 78.18 |
| merod | Yes | 71.27 |
| Crimson Kestrel EEA2 | Yes | 60 |
| TurtleFlair | Yes | 20 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 16.4 |
| keybo | Yes | 15 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
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