Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.6%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 46.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the low 2.9% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 29% on 10 Mar 2026. $2.74K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 11:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 30 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 12.5% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | 8.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 993.69 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 169.79 |
| 13klklas | Yes | 70.31 |
| WarshHikingWhale | Yes | 60 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/germany-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026
| anx424 | Yes | 50 |
| Agitator | Yes | 37.62 |
| Wee-Acid | Yes | 34.55 |
| HotteKarotte | Yes | 30 |
| Lunar Atlas 530C | Yes | 15.64 |
| Cobalt Scout 684D | Yes | 15 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
