Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 180 | $0.500 | $168.3 | +$78.3 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 4.21 |
| $0.950 |
| $4.12 |
| +$0.12 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.29 | $0.304 | $2.78 | +$1.78 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.78 | $0.719 | $2.55 | +$0.55 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.2 | $0.082 | $2.29 | +$1.29 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 2.28 | $0.878 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 3.57 | $0.560 | $1.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 2 | $0.500 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.55 | $0.644 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.844 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 2.13 |
| $0.470 |
| $1 |
| May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.923 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.644 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.770 | $1.22 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.844 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.869 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.848 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.823 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 6 2026?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.200 | $0.94 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of April 6 2026?Yes | buy | 18.48 | $0.050 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.450 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Yes | buy | 3.31 | $0.270 | $0.89 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.560 | $0.94 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.802 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.930 | $0.99 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.580 | $0.97 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.780 | $0.98 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.082 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |