Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 30, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 67 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 30 Apr 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.5% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 3% on 29 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 12.5% on 2 Feb 2026. $1.67K traded over the market's life.

22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 1, 9:04 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 30 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Feb 2026	26.5%
30 Apr 2026	3.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	993.69
Calculating-Crop-Packet	Yes	239.04
SomethingOld	Yes	202.61

10 of 22 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.