Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? | No | 60.36 | $0.690 | $49.19 | +$7.55 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?No | buy | 46.01 | $0.905 | $41.64 | 1d ago |
| No |
| 46.01 |
| $0.905 |
| $43.76 |
| +$2.12 |
 Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 40.34 | $0.380 | $33.68 | +$18.35 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | No | 47.81 | $0.370 | $31.32 | +$13.63 |
 Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | Yes | 20 | $0.740 | $19 | +$4.2 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 85.64 | $0.085 | $16.57 | +$9.29 |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 83.75 | $0.200 | $16.33 | -$0.42 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 66.8 | $0.300 | $15.03 | -$5.01 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20.96 | $0.810 | $14.78 | -$2.2 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 18.1 | $0.884 | $14.49 | -$1.51 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | No | 79.16 | $0.530 | $10.73 | -$31.23 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 40.26 | $0.291 | $8.25 | -$3.46 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 60.16 | $0.170 | $7.52 | -$2.71 |
 Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | Yes | 27.33 | $0.360 | $5.74 | -$4.1 |
 Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | No | 12.38 | $0.170 | $4.89 | +$2.79 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 9 | $0.160 | $1.67 | +$0.23 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo? | No | 12.31 | $0.130 | $0.8 | -$0.8 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes| buy |
| 66.8 |
| $0.300 |
| $20.04 |
| 2d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 60.36 | $0.690 | $41.65 | 3d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 40.26 | $0.291 | $11.71 | 5d ago |
| Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 27.33 | $0.360 | $9.84 | 5d ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 79.16 | $0.530 | $41.95 | 7d ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 83.75 | $0.200 | $16.75 | 8d ago |
| Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 60.16 | $0.170 | $10.23 | 17d ago |
| Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 17d ago |
| Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 40.34 | $0.380 | $15.33 | 18d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 37.72 | $0.680 | $25.65 | 18d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 47.81 | $0.370 | $17.69 | 19d ago |
| Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.170 | $2.1 | 19d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.96 | $0.810 | $16.98 | 20d ago |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 18.1 | $0.884 | $16 | 20d ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 45.99 | $0.400 | $18.4 | 20d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.130 | $1.6 | 21d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 85.64 | $0.085 | $7.28 | 23d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 49.28 | $0.629 | $30.98 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 73.6 | $0.266 | $19.6 | 23d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.705 | $32.45 | 28d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.160 | $1.44 | 28d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 35.02 | $0.670 | $23.45 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 77.79 | $0.740 | $57.56 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 57.82 | $0.850 | $49.15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?Yes | buy | 47.16 | $0.810 | $38.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | buy | 26.37 | $0.631 | $16.64 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 31.27 | $0.860 | $26.89 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 29.45 | $0.410 | $12.07 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 102.63 | $0.760 | $78 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 112.9 | $0.620 | $70 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.59 | $0.940 | $24.99 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 19.67 | $0.737 | $14.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 116.66 | $0.356 | $41.54 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 73.17 | $0.820 | $60 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 261.68 | $0.078 | $20.41 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.078 | $0.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.078 | $1.73 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.87 | $0.078 | $0.54 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.87 | $0.262 | $1.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.270 | $6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 86.41 | $0.807 | $69.77 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | sell | 275.86 | $0.850 | $234.6 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Yes | buy | 384.61 | $0.126 | $48.46 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.893 | $6.56 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 55.37 | $0.403 | $22.31 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.843 | $6.2 | May 20, 2026 |