Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$90.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 21, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 21 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 12 Apr 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.5% on 5 Apr 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 28 Mar 2026. $90.33K traded over the market's life.

54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 22, 3:27 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 12 Apr 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Mar 2026	36.5%
12 Apr 2026	92.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	19.73K
0xRocket666	No	200
mikenede	No	148.15
elmana	No	100

10 of 54 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).