Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.9K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 21 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 3.1% on 23 Sep 2026. $2.95K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 3:36 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	124.3
Odd-Relish	Yes	124
Moonstart13	Yes	100

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).