Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 7 points from 7% when the market opened on 14 Jun 2026.
Across the 134 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7% on 14 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 0.1% on 15 Jun 2026.
Gabriel Bonfim ranks 12th of the 12 outcomes in “Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?”. Islam Makhachev leads at 96%; Carlos Prates is at 2.9%.
$1.01K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.01K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 32 trades, $0.32 bought Yes and $456.58 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Lucerys with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 6.2K. Ten wallets hold 83.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 134 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 7.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.21K |
| Lucerys | Yes | 1.26K |
| balthazar | Yes | 660.34 |
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-welterweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026
| e46m3 |
| Yes |
| 538.92 |
| AlAhmeda | Yes | 530.42 |
| godblessme2026 | Yes | 292 |
| Romero577 | Yes | 289.07 |
| korda77 | Yes | 273.69 |
| plainfolder | Yes | 209.41 |
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 148.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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