Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 12 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 190 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2026 to 21 Sep 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 12.5% on 12 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 2.5% on 13 Feb 2026. $116.03K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 21 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 12.5% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 174.03K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 15.99K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 14.47K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner
| 9enforet | Yes | 13.05K |
| Humble-Monk | Yes | 12.14K |
| caspar1248 | Yes | 7.2K |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Yes | 4.35K |
| 0x49F206 | Yes | 3.54K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 2.25K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 2.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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