Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 47.5%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 6 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2024 to 13 Dec 2024, the highest close was 59% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 30.5% on 8 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 32% on 7 Dec 2024. $187.79K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 14, 2:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 6 Dec 2024 – 13 Dec 2024, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2024 | 44.5% |
| 13 Dec 2024 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 43.28K |
| martine55 | No | 769.6 |
| sirConradz | No | 604.44 |
| Cyprien | No | 335.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if François Bayrou is selected to become the next Prime Minister of France succeeding Michel Barnier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Prime Minister after Michel Barnier. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next Prime Minister after Michel Barnier is not known by June 30, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim or acting prime minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-france
| HilarionGougnaf | No | 77.78 |
| ncktl | No | 46.15 |
| Alexandre93 | No | 35.52 |
| Cobalt Horizon 3B8D | No | 10 |
| Chicobidon | No | 5.08 |
| phh-951 | No | 4.41 |
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