Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next French Prime Minister?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.730 | $1.69 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 4.41 |
| $0.680 |
| $3 |
| Dec 6, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 215.16 | $0.031 | $6.67 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 19.56 | $0.730 | $14.28 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?No | buy | 18.6 | $0.860 | $16 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.840 | $10.24 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.180 | $6.43 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Trump grope video released before the election?Yes | buy | 21.44 | $0.080 | $1.72 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 France loses visa-free access to any African nation in 2024?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will 2024 be better than 2023?Yes | buy | 9.57 | $0.522 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 US bank failure before December?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Who will win white women?Harris | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 30% of Black men?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will there be another debate?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Elon do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl before election?Yes | buy | 49.93 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 GTA VI delay announced before November?Yes | buy | 144.57 | $0.035 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 98.34 | $0.051 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Kamala photographed with a gun before the election?Yes | buy | 86.51 | $0.058 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Who will win Latino men?Harris | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Who will win men?Harris | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will there be another debate?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 171.53 | $0.583 | $100 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 720.46 | $0.347 | $250 | Oct 22, 2024 |